I'd put us at 10% or less chance of winning it honestly - but that's still a chance.
If we win all 14 of our remaining League matches, we get 96 points.
Man City win 12 (of their remaining League matches) they get 99 points.
It's not just the task of beating them on their own patch (tough, but possible) but the relentless consistency we have to show PLUS needing them to slip up against us AND somewhere else. The nightmare scenario would be 96 points each and they win it on Goal Difference. All our players can do is keep trying to win games. Getting to 96 from here would be a stunning achievement frankly, given the fixtures we'll have to juggle - and the likes of Ox/Minamino/Gomez/Origi will need to be called upon here and there.
Man City do have a few "interesting" fixtures left at least -
Tottenham - desperate not to fall too far away from the Champion's League spots.
Everton - new manager bounce.
Man United - a Derby, City at Home - Man United can counter-attack, which truthfully suits them better, plus will be aiming for 4th spot.
Burnley - will hopefully still have a mathematical chance of staying up by the time the match happens.
Liverpool - speaks for itself, them playing us.
West Ham - penultimate League match of the season for Man City and they might just still have a chance of 4th or a Europa League spot by then in terms of something to play for.
Aston Villa - the Villa players likely won't care, but Stevie will hopefully rev them up a few notches and Coutinho hopefully plays - at 29 he'll want a good performance in the last game of the season to attract potential suitors.
I don't hold much hope of them dropping many points, but you never know. All we can do is keep believing. Our Manager and players certainly won't give up on it. The beauty is that, even if we should fall short, we have other things to aim for - we may even win the League Cup to give us a shot in the arm just before we enter March.
Hopefully Sporting Lisbon give a decent account of themselves against them. The Spurs and Man United matches lie just after and just before those matches, respectively. I don't expect much from the Portugese side to be honest, but if they at least made Man City really have to work for those fixtures, it could just mean dropped points somewhere.
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