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Thread: General transfer thread (everything not LFC) 22/23

  1. #321
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    Quote Originally Posted by Insidious View Post
    In their eternal wisdom, Manchester United are apparently ready to offer De Jong an enormous £450,000 per-week salary and pay off the £17m he is owed by Barcelona due to their deferred payment system they have been employing of late.

    Rumoured that it would be an initial transfer fee of £56.2m, with a total package in the region of £72m.

    Over a 5-year contract he could end up costing them £200m.

    That seems a massive commitment when there's no guarantee he will push them into the Champion's League places and once again continues the precedent of a player getting huge wages without earning it at their club.
    See how do they keep going and spending more than us on wages and everything else ??

    With the amount of debt they're in apparently.

    How do they do it? I don't understand, they seem to have unlimted amount of money

    if we spent even half of what they do on everything, I reckon we'd be ahead of city, even if it's just a midfielder or 2... that would be enough which is why it's frustrating.
    #FSGOUT

    we are liverpool football club, not fucking norwich.

  2. #322
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kev0909 View Post
    See how do they keep going and spending more than us on wages and everything else ??

    With the amount of debt they're in apparently.

    How do they do it? I don't understand, they seem to have unlimted amount of money

    if we spent even half of what they do on everything, I reckon we'd be ahead of city, even if it's just a midfielder or 2... that would be enough which is why it's frustrating.
    This could seriously be a thread in itself and is half-tempting if it weren't for the fact it will descend into rigid stances of "FSG good" v "FSG bad" and "y we no replace Wijnaldum?" so will just reply as a post. I'll provide a couple of caveats before I try to (relatively briefly) explain it.

    - Definitely not a finance expert.
    - Most folks know I like (most of the) FSG way of doing things, so I may show bias, though will try to be objective.
    - Don't follow Man United closely as I'm not a fan.
    - Been exhausted/overwhelmed/irritable of late so might not commit to replying to multiple nuanced questions.

    Anyway! To the embolded points of "how" - even Klopp has said "I don't know how they do it" when speaking about them in a press conference where he mentioned Man City, Chelsea and PSG in terms of big spending. But the following should give a little insight.

    Matchday income is essentially number of matches played multiplied by average attendance multiplied by the income per fan per match. Man United used to go far in many tournaments for years and enjoyed 13 League titles in an 18-year spell, with an Old Trafford capacity of 74, 879 - Anfield on the other hand has 54,074 seats which will rise to 61,000 soon. We used to have a capacity of 44,742 for a long time, which Old Trafford absolutely dwarfed by basically having 30,000 more seats over an extended period. Man United were consistently staying in the Champion's League spots and going far, where Liverpool weren't always. The extra money meant a deeper squad so the FA Cup and League Cup topped up income as well.

    When it comes to commercial income Man United got an early start in the Satellite broadcasting eraand stayed ahead - massively fond of selling various rights to commercial partners abroad as part of their model during a period of ridiculous success. Some clubs are catching up there, particularly as the current version of Man United doesn't hoover up trophies. Kit deal with Adidas was big, sponsorship with Chevrolet was big.

    In terms of revenue, Man United were a Colossus. Well, they still are - it's not so much that they have stopped being big, but they have slowed down their growth - and other clubs are reeling them in, ourselves included. But you don't have to go back very far to see a huge disparity - in 2017 for example Man United outdid Liverpool in the revenue area by £217,000,000 which is just massive - the following year we gained huge ground on them, but they still made £135,000,000 more than us - that's a £357,000,000 disparity in just those two seasons. The equivalent of seven transfer fees of £50m.

    As to the italic/underlined point of us spending more and what we could do with it, I'd say a couple of things. The first of which is that simply spending money guarantees nothing - if we look at the spending of Man City for example, coupled with having the "world's best" (subjective and not my view!) Manager, plus the insane wages, plus the insane squad depth, then I actually think they have gotten relatively poor value-for-money - two of their League titles were only one by a solitary point against a rival they have massively outspent and theoretically out-gunned and they have reached one Champion's League Final in recent seasons compared to the three of Liverpool. Critics of that stance will say "ah but they won the League 4 times" and I'll hold my hands up and say I can't dispute that, but they should really be finishing 10 points or more clear every season rather than still needing "luck" with refereeing decisions to get one or two of their titles over the line if we truly believe that money is the key factor. Man United have shown particularly poor use of finances if we use money spent as the yard-stick. We could have spent £70m on a midfielder and have them flop - though we can of course speculate we'd have nailed it and would win the League with 105 points every year - who knows.

    Another thing to note on Man United and Liverpool is where some of the money has gone. In recent seasons Man United have let Old Trafford become something of a ruin, versus Liverpool's development of a new stand that (including the land acquisition) cost us £114,000,000. We also committed £50,000,000 to the new training centre and the upcoming development to take us to a larger capacity is another £80,000,000 - so within the last 8 or so years we have committed £244,000,000 to our future that Man United haven't.

    As of November 2021 we had also spent a massive £119,000,000 on agent fees - which is one of the "hidden costs" of keeping a side full of top talent together, versus the days of seeing Torres, Mascherano and Alonso disappear within a short period.

    Man United also borrow money in a different way to Liverpool - the borrowed £140,000,000 in 2020 to help Solskjaer buy more players and are alleged to be borrowing £200,000,000 to help revamp Old Trafford. Liverpool on the other hand are a bit more geared towards spending what we earn. Man United keep the debt collectors at bay due to an agreed clause about profit not going below £65,000,000 each season (you can find articles on this if you Google) which is fine for now, but could be storing up massive trouble further down the line.

    The models of the clubs are also different when it comes to recruitment. Liverpool have a much more Baseball-esque "trade" system where one leaves and one comes in and we only buy what Klopp/Lijnders/recruitment staff feel can really improve the starting XI whilst supplementing the rest from within and opportunistic transfers (which keeps us very sustainable) whereas Man United have a much more speculate to accumulate approach. Many of their sponsorship deals have conditions such as income dropping should they go X amount of seasons without Champion's League football, so Man United have tried at times to "spend their way back in" (with very mixed results) whereas we aren't set up like that.

    Hopefully some of the above has been helpful, although I am sure it will be flawed. The size of Old Trafford means that had they capitalised on what Fergie built (and if Man City and Chelsea weren't around) they should really be the "Bayern Munich" of our League - but each season without Champion's League football is seriously dampening their impact and indeed the financial disparity. In 2020 our revenue was around £533,000,000 to Man United's £627,000,000 and if we stay in the Champion's League (with deep runs) whilst selling with a 61,000-seater stadium for a couple of seasons we are likely to overtake them. They'll still have an edge in capacity and the sheer number of commercial partners, but we're working on it.
    Your hobbies are rollerblading and you're also a bit of a rat-hound? Steel Wool
    Sid knows he's crazy and he likes it. Balinkay

  3. #323
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    The accounts, for the three months ending March 31 this year, expose the net debt now standing at 582.47 million euros, up from 521.13 million euros. While the long-term US debt has not changed, the rise included the credit facility which United have used to provide "financial flexibility" during the pandemic.
    (May 22)

  4. #324
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    Plans to redevelop Manchester United's ground could see the club plunged into almost £1billion of debt - unless they opt for the controversial option of selling the naming rights to Old Trafford

  5. #325
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    Quote Originally Posted by Taksin View Post
    Plans to redevelop Manchester United's ground could see the club plunged into almost £1billion of debt - unless they opt for the controversial option of selling the naming rights to Old Trafford
    Think they will be alright (relatively speaking) in years to come - can't remember exactly when (24/25 perhaps?) but I think the qualification system for the Champion's League means it will be the top five League sides that qualify rather than the top four sides - so their chances of getting back in are definitely higher than without that - they always seem to land on their feet.

    Hopefully Arsenal can continue their slow improvement - much rather them doing well than any Manchester-based side.

  6. #326
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    If they end up with a billion pounds of debt, whether or not they will be alright is anybody's guess at this stage. It will affect them financially in one way or another, and a billion pounds of debt is not usually seen as a good influence. But it does go towards an explanation for the problem Kev wanted to understand.

  7. #327
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    Aston Villa and Chelsea have confirmed they have reached an agreement for the permanent transfer of Carney Chukwuemeka. why?

    And well let's hope so... barca seem to be doing fine.
    #FSGOUT

    we are liverpool football club, not fucking norwich.

  8. #328
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    Quote Originally Posted by Taksin View Post
    If they end up with a billion pounds of debt, whether or not they will be alright is anybody's guess at this stage.
    It could go either way of course, but they always manage to land on their feet (or so it feels) in the end. Their revenues are so large that if they ever committed to a 5-year project of only buying younger, talented lads on semi-sensible wages they could probably find £150m per season to start wiping the debt for the long-term benefit of the club if they really tried.

    Their under-40s fanbase would never accept such a project mind, which could be their undoing. I think they'll just wave the Norwich scarves until a Sheikh buys them.

  9. #329
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    How long will they have to be shite before their glory hunting worldwide fan base starts to become disenchanted and stop buying shirts and merch?

  10. #330
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kev0909 View Post
    Aston Villa and Chelsea have confirmed they have reached an agreement for the permanent transfer of Carney Chukwuemeka. why?
    Wonder who they'll loan him out to

    They're meant to have allocated £1 billion for the next 10 years but are linked with about £300m worth of transfer purchases for this one window?

    Either lying through their teeth or front-loading the project when fees will only rise. Risky.

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