Just looking at 18-44 as they should be healtiest naturally and easier to see in the chart.
On the graph the 18-44 has an uptick around January say, a brief dip, then back to that level from March through to June.
It begins to peak from June to a high point in July, then it drops up and down till September.
From September on its dropping, spikes through November before another drop, but only the very beginning of a drop off at the end.
Just by my eye there's 3 sections. The third closer to the first than the second perhaps.
I'm guessing few 18-44 year olds were vaxxed in the UK till early summer.
Wikipedia on England - 42-44 year olds say eligible from April 27, staggered down to 18 year olds on June 18th June.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_vaccination_in_the_United_Kingdom
So there's a sizeable up tick prior to vaccination in that cohort.
Its why leaving out 2020 is poor. Would fill in so much of the picture imo.
Was there an uptick through 2020, due to covid, lockdowns and impacts on health services.
Was there a seasonal aspect to the trend in 2020 or was it much flatter, again did it rise gradually.
My guess would be 2020 was up, as the known pre-vaccination part of the year/2021 has a decent uptick.
Certainly seems to be enough cause for concern, the downward trend after vaccine rollout perhaps indicates a shorter term reaction to vaxxs that's dissipating. Which would be good news.
The lack of discussion and willingness to discuss is a concern.
Bookmarks