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Thread: Top6 spends analysed by MV 13/14 onwards

  1. #1
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    Top6 spends analysed by MV 13/14 onwards

    So I've given the spends for top 6 elsewhere.
    Income from Sales, Expenditure on acquisitions and net.

    Following on from that, I've totted up the market value of those transferred players to see a bit more of the reality. I've converted figures to euros from pounds. €1 = £0.86. I've rounded to the closest million.

    You can disagree with the market valuation of players, its not unreasonable. These MV's are cited from Transfermarkt.

    LFC
    ● Earnt €800 mill from player sales valued at €1,315 mill.
    Recouping 61% of their value
    ● Spent €1,298 mill on €1,591 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, we signed €1.23 euros of player.
    ● for our net spend of €498 mill - our net gain in MV was €276m
    55% effective by MV

    Spurs
    ● Earnt €713 mill from player sales valued at €1,589 mill.
    Recouping 45% of their value
    ● Spent €1,265 mill on €1,793 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.42 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €553 mill - their net gain in MV was €204m
    37% effective by MV

    Manc
    ● Earnt €798 mill from player sales valued at €1,683mill.
    Recouping 47% of their value
    ● Spent €1,974 mill on €2,220 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.12 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €1,176 mill - their net gain in MV was €537 m
    46% effective by MV

    Manu
    ● Earnt €504 mill from player sales valued at €1,362 mill.
    Recouping 37% of their value
    ● Spent €1,864 mill on €2,034 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.09 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €1,360 mill - their net gain in MV was €672 m
    49% effective by MV

    Arse
    ● Earnt €417 mill from player sales valued at €1,494 mill.
    Recouping 28% of their value
    ● Spent €1,407 mill on €1,920 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.36 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €991 mill - their net gain in MV was €425 m
    43% effective by MV

    Cfc
    ● Earnt €1,347 mill from player sales valued at €3,270 mill.
    Recouping 41% of their value
    ● Spent €2,499 mill on €3,684 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.47 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €1,152 mill - their net gain in MV was €406 m
    35% effective by MV

    Conclusions:

    Lfc the best at selling. Even though we've just lost a fair few on freebies.

    Cfc get best bang for buck in buying. An area we could improve.

    Lfc's net spending most effective per euro. This shows we are the best at transfers by net spending.

    I'll have a check on these tomorrow evening. Bit pressed for time.

    Limitations
    Now MV is not a perfect measure.
    It can rise and drop sharply.
    It can be impacted by expected transfers to come soon.

    Like Caicedo for example.
    https://www.transfermarkt.com/moises-caicedo/profil/spieler/687626

    He was bought for £4mill by brighton now reported on Transfermarkt as €28.2 mill probably due a sell on clause for Chelseas €116 mill.
    In terms of market value when Brighton bought him he was valued at €5 mill. When Chelsea bought him he was valued at 90 mill. Obviously his market value rose drastically after one season.
    6 mill in summer 22 -> 90 mill summer 23. Now maybe Caicedo turns out to hold his value.

    But with Anthony for example he joined united for 95 mill.
    He was valued at 35 mill in summer 22 at Ajax, he was valued at 75 mill when untied signed him and he's now valued at 35 mill.

    Market values above are based on point of sale.
    Salah for example we signed for 42 mill and he was valued at 40 mill. So we overpaid for Salah by MV. He did reach a 200 mill valuation thereafter and is now valued at 65 mill - age related.

    Whereas Ronaldo was signed for 17 mill by manu more recently when valued at 35 mill. So Ronaldo was a better purchase than Salah by this means. Manu saved more money, but nobody really thinks ronny was a better value buy in 2021 than salah in 17/18.
    Even freebie Matip outperforms Salah this way.

    To track the valuations after purchase, well I can't be arsed. Too much effort, and not sure how.

    Another consideration is wages offered when signed if you want to include them, that would be reasonable.
    Again, can't be arsed and wages aren't exactly detailed in the accounts and media reports have a bit of a range.
    I'd speculate united have done worst on wages of players bought, and of course cities financial reporting is very suspect.
    Sterling took a small pay cut at city by reported figures when at the height of his powers. Which is highly unusual.... and they've never lost a star to bigger wages elsewhere. Cities players have been very loyal... or maybe tied up..

    Anyway that's the figures I have to compare actual spending with market value estimates.

  2. #2
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    https://www.transfermarkt.com/fc-chelsea/transfers/verein/631/saison_id/2023

    This shows Chelseas summer 23 window - I've just added them up since 13/14 season.

    Here Chelsea
    ● Earnt €269.4 mill from player sales valued at €482.6 mill.
    Recouping 55.8% of their value
    ● Spent €467.8 mill on €517.75 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.11 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €198.4 mill - their net gain in MV was €35.15 m
    17.7% effective by MV

    For our net spend of €111.3 mill, our net gain in MV was €44.7 mill.
    40.2% effective

    We added more value than Chelsea for less net spend.

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Steveo View Post
    CCTV there is nothing to debate. You try to use the reckless spending of desperados like United and latterly Boehly’s Chelsea as evidence that a high net spend is bad when the overwhelming evidence points to the contrary.

    Look at the teams in the top 5 net spend table since 2000 and count up what they have won.

    You then will have a definitive answer. At least you will IF you can handle the truth.
    I've analysed stats, including links youve posted, on gross spend since 2000 across Europe (you'd posted a top euro gross spend), gross & net since FSG took over.

    When I pointed to us spending more than Real net since FSG took over, you replied Unique Madrid were incomparable...
    You then returned with gross spend since 2000 between Unique Madrid & Liverpool. #comparable and here's why, from you.
    I pointed out we'd outspend Real on gross since FSG took over. You then said Unique Mardid were incomparable, again...

    Here's a thread I posted after this on analysis net spend v market values. Focused solely on the PL top6.
    https://forums.lfconline.co.uk/showthread.php?310133-Top6-spends-analysed-by-MV-13-14-onwards&highlight=Top6%20net%20spend&p=2815830#pos t2815830

    I'll post this reply there as a bump for replies on the topic. I've admitted where further analysis could yield better insight
    But maybe you should make your case, in your own words, coherently

    For me it's quite simple, the big clubs spend the big money. Klopp spent 946 million gross, a billion gross essentially.
    The PL is socialist compared with la liga dividends. TV revenue hinders LFC, Manu, even Arsenal. Only Brighton & Ipswich outspent United net this summer...

    Well run clubs, spend less net compared with their rivals. Real the prime example since 2011 by my analysis as I recall. Having to spend is inevitable.

  4. #4
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    “Well run clubs”.

    For you many things seem simple but reality is reality.

    Well run can be defined in many ways. Comparing our net spend with Real’s Since FSG took over is totally ridiculous. You are comparing a club that was supposedly MILES off it. A sleeping giant in need of genuine investment…..to the single most successful club on the planet in 1980 - 1990 - 2000 - in 2010 and today - the most coveted club on the planet in 1980 - 1990 - 2000 - in 2010 and today.

    A club that has been in a totally unique position to capitalise on the above - buying for far less and selling for far more than anyone else would find feasible to do.

    A unique institution run to a degree by its fans and well known for consistently - over the longer term - spending the most money on the best, most glamorous and desirable players since the 1950’s.

    Brighton are a well run club - so fucking what. The reality is our amazing manager wasn’t backed as well as Arteta despite the obvious need - and from 43 points behind us in 2020 they closed the gap in 3 years to be ahead of us 2022/23 and again in 2023/24.

    This happened after they dropped the self sustaining model and we continued with the buy to let. It culminated in the best manager around walking early.

    “well run” hmm

  5. #5
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    LFC

    20/21 -67.6m (mv gain +94.65)
    Spent 84.8 value 182.5
    Sold 17.2 value 87.85

    21/22 -59.35 (mv gain +22)
    Spent 91 value 155
    Sold 31.65 value 133

    22/23 -65.1 (mv gain 34.7)
    Spent 145.8 value 165
    Sold 80.7 value 130.3

    23/24 -111.8 (mv gain 29.8)
    Spent 172 value 191.5
    Sold 60.7 value 161.7

    Total 303.85 net.
    Gross spend 493.6
    Gross sales 190.25
    Market value shift +181.15

    https://www.transfermarkt.com/liverpool-fc/transfers/verein/31/plus/?saison_id=2023&pos=&detailpos=&w_s=



    Arsenal


    20/21 -66.85 (MV gain +43.55)
    Spent 86 value 229.3
    Sold 19.15 value 185.75

    21/22 -136 (Mv loss -59.3)
    Spent 167.4 value 185.85
    Sold 31.4 value 245.15

    22/23 -162.6 (Mv +171.8)
    Spent 186.4 value 370
    Sold 23.8 value 198.2

    23/24 -165.9 (mv gain +131.6)
    Spent 235.1 value 319.9
    Sold 69.2 value 188.3

    Total 531.35 net.
    Gross spend 674.9
    Gross sales 143.55
    Market value shift +287.65

    https://www.transfermarkt.com/arsenal-fc/transfers/verein/11/plus/?saison_id=2020&pos=&detailpos=&w_s=


    Arsenal Spent a further 227.5 mill net,
    181.3 gross.
    And had a greater market value shift +106.5 mill

    Per €uro Net-Spent
    Arsenal gained 54 cent in market value.
    LFC gained 59 cent in market value.


    Emery's Villa

    22/23 -46.14 (Mv +78.7)
    Spent 100.14 value 242.7
    Sold 54 value 164

    23/24 -78.95 (mv gain 110.75)
    Spent 111.5 value 179.45
    Sold 32.55 value 68.7

    Total 125.09 net.
    Gross spend 211.64
    Gross sales 86.55
    Market value shift +189.45

    Per €uro Net-Spent
    Villa gained 151 cent.

    Klopp clearly hindered by a few notable free transfer departures Gini, Bobby,

    I'd emery's Villa have been better run than both lfc & arsenal over these past few years.

  6. #6
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    What question are you trying to answer with this analysis? And use tables for layout.
    VOTE JOCKY tae fix this fiasco.

  7. #7
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    I see that thing is still here.
    Cleaning up the Scots since the 13th century

  8. #8
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    If only that imbeclie understood irony.

    It is doing Justine's trolling for her.
    VOTE JOCKY tae fix this fiasco.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by JockStrap View Post
    What question are you trying to answer with this analysis? And use tables for layout.
    An analysis of spend. Its rather simply laid out.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by CCTV View Post
    https://www.transfermarkt.com/fc-chelsea/transfers/verein/631/saison_id/2023

    This shows Chelseas summer 23 window - I've just added them up since 13/14 season.

    Here Chelsea
    ● Earnt €269.4 mill from player sales valued at €482.6 mill.
    Recouping 55.8% of their value
    ● Spent €467.8 mill on €517.75 mill of players.
    For €1 spent, they signed €1.11 euros of player.
    ● for their net spend of €198.4 mill - their net gain in MV was €35.15 m
    17.7% effective by MV

    For our net spend of €111.3 mill, our net gain in MV was €44.7 mill.
    40.2% effective

    We added more value than Chelsea for less net spend.
    Last year, at the outset of the season you pressed me on, would we finish above Chelsea. I said yes. You were very concerned about them due to their mega spending under Toddy.

    The above analysis weighed the actual impact of their spending last summer versus ours. This year's its Arteta over took Klopp.
    And Unique Madrid are incomparable again but not when you cite their gross spend since 2000 again, this is exactly what I mean about holding up your end of an argument. Comparable, not comparable, sorry, not sorry

    Unique Madrid... bollox, let's look at the facts. Real Madrid have big pulling power. They are a great club. No 1.

    Prior to FSG's purchase of LFC, Real had won 9 CL titles since 1955-2009/10 to LFC's 5.
    Winning 9 of 54 CL

    Since 2010/11 they've won 6 of the 14 CL titles. Bringing them up to 15 to LFC's 6 over those 14 years. +5

    It is during this era that their net spend has been lower than LFC's under JwH (not checked if still the case after the summer window gone), in contrast Barca went bust trying to replace Neymar. The non-self sustaining model.

    By reports Real offered 177 mill iirc last summer for mbop. Signed him on a "free" transfer this summer.
    The signing on bonus & wages suggest the term free is being used loosely Real have the strongest pull and they pay for it. A luxury afforded to them by the disparity between PL & LaLiga revenue sharing.

    Quote Originally Posted by Steveo View Post
    “Well run clubs”.

    For you many things seem simple but reality is reality.

    Well run can be defined in many ways. Comparing our net spend with Real’s Since FSG took over is totally ridiculous. You are comparing a club that was supposedly MILES off it. A sleeping giant in need of genuine investment…..to the single most successful club on the planet in 1980 - 1990 - 2000 - in 2010 and today - the most coveted club on the planet in 1980 - 1990 - 2000 - in 2010 and today.

    A club that has been in a totally unique position to capitalise on the above - buying for far less and selling for far more than anyone else would find feasible to do.

    A unique institution run to a degree by its fans and well known for consistently - over the longer term - spending the most money on the best, most glamorous and desirable players since the 1950’s.

    Brighton are a well run club - so fucking what. The reality is our amazing manager wasn’t backed as well as Arteta despite the obvious need - and from 43 points behind us in 2020 they closed the gap in 3 years to be ahead of us 2022/23 and again in 2023/24.

    This happened after they dropped the self sustaining model and we continued with the buy to let. It culminated in the best manager around walking early.

    “well run” hmm
    They dropped the self sustaining model. So they are not aiming to be like Real or LFC as you see it.

    https://www.transfermarkt.com/mikel-arteta/spielertransfers/trainer/47620

    That's a list of Artetas purchased players at arsenal.
    January 2020 - Summer 2024
    4 full seasons presumably, most spending is summer anyways.
    Purchased players:*34 (28 fees)
    €791,800,000

    https://www.transfermarkt.com/jurgen-klopp/spielertransfers/trainer/118/plus/0/galerie/0?station_id=120230

    That's Klopps at LFC
    January 2016/Summer 2024
    Purchased players:*37 (31 fees)
    €946,000,000

    Almost as many bought & as much € in half the time. Klopp brought in players better than he inherited Bobby/Phil, has arteta signed a player better than saka ?
    Rice & Havertz the 2 biggest fees.

    Artetas put together a very good side, but in his fifth season, he must really be under pressure to deliver a big title. They've had a good start tbf given some tough fixtures on paper. Thought they had a great chance for the CL the way they played last year, their exit to a weak Bayern..... 🤔

    Well I guess the media & Journos, Football legends of the Klopp Era & their Ag€nts, CAS, mocking the fees & inflation in wages - then having to pay them himself, dodgy refs, general demands of being LFC manager (like Pep at Barca), the passing of his mum & his own grandkids now on the scene, might all not have mattered if he'd been given the money to compete with Cituae who should be striped of their titles.
    It seems a little whimsical to put Klopps departure to one reason. Especially given his profile prior to LFC.

    In reality Slot has inherited a quality squad and currently sits top of the table, only 6 games in of course.

    Arteta finished above Klopp for the first time in Klopps only fail season at LFC. Klopp announced his retirement the next season.
    Last year, bar var, we arguably finish above them...
    Ended similarly at Dortmund & Mainz in terms of timeframes for Klopp.

    People didn't think we'd land Klopp. We couldnt win on a low net spend, like he did at Dortmund. We couldnt beat p€ps cituae.

    His best 11 was put togeter on a pittance net.

    Alisson
    Trent Matip VVD Robbo
    Hendo Fabinho Gini
    Salah Firmino Mané
    (Milner)

    He had a higher ppg record at LFC than he did at Dortmund in an easier league, and bettered fergies at manu ppg.
    He led an incredible LFC side, a relatively clean one against a dirty manc outfit, outperforming them in Europe & losing narrowly in the PL in murky circumstances.

    In the PL presently the league is funding an ever increasing competitiveness within the league, Spain has benefitted most from this division as barca v real la liga is next strongest.
    Since 2011 Spain won 8, England 4 & Bayern 2.
    The CL can't expand/adapt to accommodate a top6 of pl teams, all expected to budget for top4 finishes. Nor to assist other leagues with enough money to offset PL tv rights. Routinely 12 or 13 of Europe's richest clubs are PL sides.

    Spain has provided the most champions, with twenty wins from two clubs.*England have produced fifteen winners from a record six clubs and Italy have produced twelve winners from three clubs.
    Spain + 4 over the last 14 years. Only +1 beforehand over 54 years.

    This dominance is stronger currently than historically.
    8/14 v 12/54
    57.1% v 22.2%

    Real on the self sustaining model & booming, Barca in crisis financially and recovering. Both wanted ESL to keep competitive.
    LFC 3rd the only PL side in Europe's top5.

    Pep at Barca
    Year Net (in €mill)
    08/09 41.41
    09/10 89 (zlatan)
    10/11 19.8
    11/12 13.05
    https://www.transfermarkt.com/fc-barcelona/transfers/verein/131/plus/?saison_id=2011&pos=&detailpos=&w_s=

    Net spend €163.3 mill

    Gross spend €342 mill
    Value of acquisitions €450 mill

    Sales €178.7 mill
    Value €403.5 mill

    Net spent €163.3 mill
    Market value gain +46.5 mill

    Purchased players:*17 (16 fees)

    https://www.transfermarkt.com/pep-guardiola/spielertransfers/trainer/5672/plus/0/galerie/0?station_id=28649

    Ancelotti (01.07.2021 - Today)
    Purchased players:*12 (9 fees)

    https://www.transfermarkt.com/carlo-ancelotti/spielertransfers/trainer/523/plus/0/galerie/0?station_id=317349

    Net spend €106.3
    Transfer expenditure:€299.5
    Value of arrivals €864.2

    Sales €193.2
    Value €396 .7

    Net spent €106.3 mill
    Market value gain +467.5

    Per €uro spent net, they've added €4.40 in market value.

    Even comparing 2 great sides, 2 great managers, 1 better run club as I see it by the books.
    Last edited by CCTV; 3rd October 2024 at 08:44 PM.

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